The Voting Trend Team
Welcome to Voting Trend. My name is Dave Trotter and I’m an election data specialist who has been working in the field of politics for over 30 years. I have worked in both the practical field of politics, starting in 1992 on a small Florida State Senate campaigns for an unknown candidate named Buddy Dyer (who would later become Mayor of Orlando). Since then I have worked on campaigns in Florida, Utah, Nevada, Arizona, Illinois, Michigan, Alabama, as well as Canada.
I have also worked in the academic field, receiving my Masters Degree from McGill University (one of the best Political Science graduate programs in the world), focusing on voting behavior and election forecasting models. I have written a number of academic papers focusing on US, Canada, and East German voting behavior, as well as the chapter on the Econometric Approaches to 2017 Forecasting in the latest Sage Handbook of Electoral Behavior (2017).
Over the last number of years, the predictive models (known as nowcast models) presented here at Voting Trend, have been more accurate than Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight, Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, RealClear Politics, and other election predictors.
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Kartik Krishnaiyer is a prominent Florida-based, political analyst, writer consultant, and sports journalist whose career has spanned decades of pivotal moments in both American politics and the evolution of soccer in the United States.
Krishnaiyer’s political roots trace back to his time as President of the University of Florida College Democrats in the mid-90s. By the late 90s, he had transitioned into professional governmental and public relations, serving as a staffer in the Florida House and as a political director for various organizations.
He is perhaps most notably recognized for his role in the 2000 Presidential Recount, where he worked on behalf of the Palm Beach County Democratic Party during one of the most high-stakes electoral disputes in U.S. history. His political involvement continued through the 2000s, where he served as Statewide Field Coordinator for the Florida Democratic Party during the 2002 cycle, and campaign manager for various local and legislative races across Palm Beach, Broward, and Central Florida.
In 2013, he founded The Florida Squeeze, an award-winning progressive blog that gained national recognition from The Washington Post for its deep-dive analysis of state-level politics. In 2014 he served as the Deputy Campaign Manager and ran day-to-day operations for George Sheldon’s Attorney General Campaign.
Krishnaiyer is an accomplished author, writing extensively on Florida’s complex heritage. Beyond his books, his work has been featured in major international outlets such as The Guardian and The Telegraph, as well as Florida-focused publications like Jacksonville Bold. Whether dissecting a tactical shift on the pitch or a shift in the Florida legislature, Krishnaiyer’s writing is defined by a blend of historical context and candid analysis.
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