Florida’s Vote by Mail turnout is low. Why? Florida Vote by Mail looking to hit record lows. In 2018, Florida’s Vote by Mail (or VBM) tally reached over 2.6 million voters when all was said and done. So far in 2022, VBMs have hit just under 1 million votes, a substantial difference from the last …
Since the election of Barack Obama back in 2008, a continuing narrative within Democratic Party circles is that “changes in demographics” would lead to an eventual Democratic takeover of the House, Senate, and the Presidency for decades. Democratic conventional wisdom posits that voters who are not White are more likely to be Democratic, and as those voters become a larger part of the population, Democrats, naturally, would be in a position of advantage.
Well, the vote is over. Stephen Bittel is going to be the chair of the Florida Democratic Party. From my projections, I assumed the vote would have gone to a second ballot, but it seems that some who were projected to go one way instead voted for Bittel. Either way, the race is over. Stephen …
Time for Florida Democrats to truly come together, not just talk about it. Read More »
It happens every election cycle. Political consultants, campaign managers, and even candidates think that they know best when it comes to running a campaign, creating a message, and targeting voters. However, most of this so-called “wisdom” comes from years of doing it the same way without having anyone challenge their methods. We always hear that “this …
Time for the Florida Democratic Party to employ political scientists. Read More »
I supported Bernie Sanders in the primary. In fact, I had advocated for Bernie to run for president two years before he made the decision to run. When I saw Bernie speak in June of 2014, in a packed pub in Evanston, IL, more than a year before he was addressing thousands of supporters in …
Steve Schale’s recent blog post hits the nail on the head. Read More »
Last week, I looked at the Florida House districts to see how the presidential candidates performed. While the Republicans still had a decent advantage, we did see that Democrats under-performed in State House races compared to the top of the ticket. After the State Senate redistricting, Democrats were handed a favorable map. However, would the …
If there is one thing positive about this year’s Florida Democratic Party chair’s race, it is that we are really seeing each candidate’s vision for Florida. DECs are taking the extra step to not only inform themselves about the candidates, but are sharing their forums with others. With that being said, the Orange County DEC …
Over the last few weeks, I have been putting together precinct-level data so that I can do some number crunching. But before I get into testing hypotheses that I have formulated, I wanted to see how well Hillary Clinton did in Florida State House and State Senate Districts. Today, I have finished (sort of) my …
A few sources close to both Stephen Bittel and Susannah Randolph, who wish to remain anonymous, have contacted me and stated that there is a “strong likelihood” that activist and failed congressional candidate Susannah Randolph would have a spot in a Bittel-run Florida Democratic Party. Both sources hinted that Randolph could hold the position of …
Will Susannah Randolph be FDP Executive Director under Bittel? Read More »
Just a few minutes ago, Democratic insider Stephen Bittel won his election for the Miami-Dade State Committeeman position. Of course, he represents the past when it comes to the Florida Democratic Party. He will be the next Allison Tant, or Rod Smith, or Karen Thurman. Basically, he will not be beneficial to the FDP whatsoever. …
Insider Stephen Bittel wins, and now outsiders need to back a single candidate. Read More »
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