Congressional Race Ratings – November 3
No changes from yesterday
Florida Congressional Races
Congressional Race Ratings – November 1
No changes to today’s ratings.
Congressional Race Ratings – October 21: A Look at the Five Closest Races
CD 2 Moved to Toss Up National political analysts long ago wrote of the chances for the Democrats to pick up this seat but as we’ve reported for weeks, Democrat Al Lawson has had lots of momentum on the ground despite the general trend against Democrats at all other levels across the state. Recent polling …
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Campaign Notes From Across The State
Several interesting developments on the campaign trail this week. While the Democrats are not meeting expectations in several races across the state, Al Lawson appears to have moved into a de3ad heat with Incumbent Republican Rep. Steve Southerland according to recent polling. The composite Talking Points Memo poll tracker has Lawson leading Southerland by 0.5 …
Al Lawson Surging in CD-2
Three weeks ago we downgraded former Senate Minority Leader Al Lawson’s chances of defeating Congressman Steve Southerland in the Tallahassee based 2nd Congressional District. But since then Lawson has surged more more quickly and quietly than just about any Congressional candidate in the country. The local popularity of Lawson, combined with a stronger than expected …
Congressional Race Ratings – October 7th
This week we’re shifting the CD-2 race back into the “Leans Republican” column where it started the cycle. Three weeks ago we wrote this about the seat: We’ve moved the 2nd Congressional District race between Steve Southerland and Al Lawson to “Likely Republican” based on public polling in the region regarding the Presidential, US Senate …
DCCC Pulls Out of Buchanan-Fitzgerald Race
Per the Tampa Bay Times, the DCCC has cancelled their ad buy in the Tampa/St Petersburg market. This comes as Vern Buchanan has pulled away from Democratic challenger, former Rep. Keith Fitzgerald in recent weeks. Buchanan was also cleared of wrongdoing by an ethics panel in recent weeks. Two weeks ago, TPH changed this race …
Effective Patrick Murphy Ad
Patrick Murphy wisely is hitting Allen West on outsourcing jobs and the damage “Free Trade” agreements have done to the Forida worker. This is an excellent ad. It strikes the right tone and develops one theme wisely instead of bouncing all over the place and hitting West on his inflammatory rhetoric (which is getting tired …
Congressional Race Ratings: September 16th
Two significant changes this week to our ratings. We’ve moved the 2nd Congressional District race between Steve Southerland and Al Lawson to “Likely Republican” based on public polling in the region regarding the Presidential, US Senate and State House races that overlap the district. Lawson should outperform Alan Boyd’s poor 41% here in 2010 and …
Thoughts On St PetePolls.org Latest Look at Congressional/Legislative Races
I’ve never been in love with automated or interactive polls but at the same time, my experience with them is that they aren’t as inaccurate as many think. St PetePolls.org conducted a survey in several important localized races in the state last week, and most of the polls contain few surprises. In fact, in many …
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