Congressional Race Ratings – November 1
No changes to today’s ratings.
Florida Congressional District 18
Senate Race Ratings – October 31
We’ve moved the heavily Democratic SD 25 where Republican Melanie Peterson is getting an extraordinary amount of outside help to “Leans Democrat” from “Likely Democrat.” Rep. Joe Abruzzo the Democratic nominee is a strong candidate but is facing a barrage of money being spent against him.
Congressional Race Ratings – October 31
Several changes today to our Congressional ratings. Unlike legislative races where we rate races based on feel and on the ground intelligence, we are rating congressional races based on public polling which is available in most races. Thus we’re instituting a clear criteria beginning today. If a race is within four points either way in …
Congressional Race Ratings – October 21: A Look at the Five Closest Races
CD 2 Moved to Toss Up National political analysts long ago wrote of the chances for the Democrats to pick up this seat but as we’ve reported for weeks, Democrat Al Lawson has had lots of momentum on the ground despite the general trend against Democrats at all other levels across the state. Recent polling …
Congressional Race Ratings – October 21: A Look at the Five Closest Races Read More »
Congressional Race Ratings – October 7th
This week we’re shifting the CD-2 race back into the “Leans Republican” column where it started the cycle. Three weeks ago we wrote this about the seat: We’ve moved the 2nd Congressional District race between Steve Southerland and Al Lawson to “Likely Republican” based on public polling in the region regarding the Presidential, US Senate …
Effective Patrick Murphy Ad
Patrick Murphy wisely is hitting Allen West on outsourcing jobs and the damage “Free Trade” agreements have done to the Forida worker. This is an excellent ad. It strikes the right tone and develops one theme wisely instead of bouncing all over the place and hitting West on his inflammatory rhetoric (which is getting tired …
Congressional Race Ratings: September 16th
Two significant changes this week to our ratings. We’ve moved the 2nd Congressional District race between Steve Southerland and Al Lawson to “Likely Republican” based on public polling in the region regarding the Presidential, US Senate and State House races that overlap the district. Lawson should outperform Alan Boyd’s poor 41% here in 2010 and …
Updated Congressional Ratings
So as of now we have 8 Democrats, 18 Republicans and 1 Toss-up in the House and Bill Nelson remaining in the Senate. Four of the seats we classify as Republican simply are in the “leans” category, so those are ripe opportunities for the Democrats. We will be updating this list every Sunday between today …
Congressional Race Ratings
Beginning today, every two weeks until the August primary and every Friday following the primary we will rate the 27 Congressional seats in Florida. Here are our first set of rankings. Safe Democratic FL-5 (Brown) FL- 14 (Castor ) FL- 20 (Hastings) FL-21 (Deutch) FL-23 (Wasserman-Schultz) FL-24 (Wilson)
DCCC Investing Big In Florida House Races: Thoughts
Yesterday, POLITICO reported that the DCCC had made major ad television ad buys in several targeted Congressional races throughout the nation. According to the article $8,316,000 is being invested by the DCCC into various Florida media markets. Tallahassee and Panama City media markets: $828,000 Orlando media market: $2,530,000 Tampa/St Petersburg media market: $2,498,000 (includes Sarasota/Bradenton …
DCCC Investing Big In Florida House Races: Thoughts Read More »
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