2012 Race Ratings

Senate Race Ratings – November 4

Leave a Comment / 2012 Florida Senate Elections, 2012 Race Ratings

We’ve moved SD-14 where Darren Soto’s broad range of support and Democratic oriented district means he’s virtually unbeatable. Will McBride has been an interesting candidate but this was the wrong district and wrong opponent. In SD-35 Republican challenger John Couriel continues to intrigue observers but is unlikely to seriously challenge Gwen Margolis. In recent days …

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House Race Ratings – November 3rd: Several Developments Across the State

2 Comments / 2012 Race Ratings, Florida Legislature, Florida Politics

Our plan today was to move the HD-30 race where Scott Plakon has run a strong campaign backed by big money recently to “Leans Republican” despite the Democratic performance edge in the district. However, yesterday’s controversial mail piece is more than likely to boomerang against Plakon rather than to finish off Karen Castor-Dentel, whose campaign …

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Congressional Race Ratings – November 2: CD-2 Moved

Leave a Comment / 2012 Elections, 2012 Race Ratings, Al Lawson, Florida, Steve Southerland

It appears Al Lawson’s momentum in CD-2 has run into a brick wall thanks to Mitt Romney’s high performance in the area. Romney is poised to gain at least 55% of the vote in this sprawling north Florida district based on early voting from the area. Lawson does have some crossover support, and the race …

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