A few quick notes before we unveil a more detailed analysis in the coming days. Republicans carried Volusia County for the first time since 1988, when they carried 66 of Florida’s 67 counties in George H.W. Bush’s 61-39 Florida win over Michael Dukakis. Volusia has typically been the best D medium sized county in the …
Since Kartik and I am highly familiar with the political geography of Florida, especially at the local levels, we will be declaring winners to tonight’s elections. Our projected winners will be in bold and underlined. We will not be putting up the results, as it will take too long, but only our projected winners. Also, …
Spending the last five days securing your electoral base is bad in any election. The question has to be asked as to why the Obama campaign is spending so much time and effort bringing the President, First Lady and former President Clinton to the three metropolitan southeast Florida counties so late in the game? Two …
Do Team Obama’s Southeast Florida Visits Indicate Weakness? Read More »
Survey America’s polling numbers that were released yesterday are good news for Florida Democrats. Bill Nelson has according to the poll opened up a double-digit lead over Connie Mack IV and Barack Obama holds a steady but solid four point lead over Mitt Romney.
The vast majority of Republicans aren’t racists. In fact, I believe their are as many (if not more) Democratic racists as Republican racists. I have even defended the tea party openly saying, that I reject the conventional wisdom that the movement is racist and have found more than enough evidence to back my claim. But …
Individual endorsements tend to be over rated as a way of moving persuadable voters. By and large endorsements only matter to the political class and perhaps in some fundraising circles. It’s been my experience as a Florida Democratic operative in the past that the only personal endorsement that actually is worthwhile is that of Bob …
The newest Q battleground state poll was released on Thursday and it found President Obama’s lead in the state shrinking to three points, 49-46. The poll also found Rick Scott’s approval rating at 41% which is about where Governor Chiles approval rating was at the same point in his first term, before Hurricane Andrew hit …
Whenever a Vice Presidential selection is made, pundits tend to over emphasize its impact on the national electorate. More often than not, VP choices have little or no impact on the November election. Mitt Romney’s selection of Congressman Paul Ryan is unlikely to be a major exception to this rule other than providing a boost …
The Ryan Impact on Florida: Where Republican Votes May Be Up For Grabs Read More »
Looking at the Presidential race yesterday, it looked like President Obama might be in trouble in the Sunshine State. According to the poll, Obama was losing to Mitt Romney by seven points, 47-40. Unless Obama was caught on television killing puppies, nothing really explained this shift. Today, a NBC/Marist poll was released showing Obama with …
Trotter Editorial: Understanding Quinnipiac’s Florida “puke poll”. Read More »
Most Democrats in this election cycle are pretty confident that President Obama will win reelection to the White House. And even with that confidence, poll after poll continues to show that Obama and Romney will run very close in the State of Florida. In fact, Romney has led in a few of the more recent …
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