Democratic Party Chairman Rod Smith has claimed the November 6th legislative election results were of a “historic” nature. This statement difficult to understand when in both House and Senate the party merely returned to its pre-2010 election levels. The real cycle where Democrats stemmed the tide of past elections was in 2006, where a much …
A few days ago, I explained why I picked the states that I did in the presidential election. Now, it is time for me to explain my Florida picks. Let’s first start with the US House (since the Senate was never really close): Congressional District 2: While I felt that the demographics were a little …
I hope many of these predictions are wrong but the superior Republican money machine and legislative infrastructure means that they must be favored to win just about every close race in the state. Both my colleague, Dave Trotter and I have declined to make predictions in HD 63 and HD 114 as we have candidates …
Kartik’s Florida Congress, Senate and House Predictions Read More »
Instead of writing an introduction, I will just go into my predictions. Here we go. Governor Races: DE: Democrats Retain IN: Republicans Retain MO: Democrats Retain MT: Democrats Retain NC: Republican Takeover ND: Republican Retain NH: Democrats Retain UT: Republicans Retain VT: Democrats Retain WA: Democrats Retain WV: Democrats Retain
We’ve moved SD-14 where Darren Soto’s broad range of support and Democratic oriented district means he’s virtually unbeatable. Will McBride has been an interesting candidate but this was the wrong district and wrong opponent. In SD-35 Republican challenger John Couriel continues to intrigue observers but is unlikely to seriously challenge Gwen Margolis. In recent days …
No changes today. Safe D Likely D Leans D Toss Up Leans R Likely R Safe R SD 12 (Open) SD 3 (Montford) SD 14 (Open) SD 34 (Bogdanoff/Sachs) SD 8 (Open) SD 4 (Open) SD 1 (Gaetz) SD 19 (Open) SD 9 (Gibson) SD 25 (Open) SD 7 (Open) SD 2 (Evers) SD 27 …
No changes this week in our ratings. Here is the most recent anti Ellyn Bogdanoff ad airing in the one toss-up seat remaining on the board. Full ratings below.
In the new heavily Hispanic State Senate District 14, voters will have a choice between two well known names in the community. Democrat Darren Soto has represented the region in the Florida House of Representatives since 2007. His Republican challenger, William McBride (not to be confused with former Democratic candidate for governor in 2002) is …
The Political Hurricane Endorsement – Darren Soto for State Senate 14. Read More »
With the advent of “Fair Districts” came Legislative maps less gerrymandered for partisan purposes than in previous cycles. In the House this has produced a map with fewer than 60 safe or likely Republican seats and if the Democrats could ever get their act together they could capture the chamber in the next few cycles. …
Senate Race Ratings: Republicans Likely To Overperform Read More »
The third time wasn’t the charm for Rep. Ron Saunders in the southernmost Florida Senate district . Despite two failed attempts in the past to win this district, Saunders tried again and was backed by big Tallahassee money. But ultimately he fell short with Rep. Dwight Bullard who was strongly endorsed by our website emerging …
Saunders Defeat A Defining Victory For Progressives Read More »
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