With the election only a few months away, and the primary a little more than a month away, it is time to take a look at the 120 Florida House seats. Last week I created a method to determine the likelihood that Democrats would retain certain seats. When I created this method, I considered three important factors. …
Democratic Party Chairman Rod Smith has claimed the November 6th legislative election results were of a “historic” nature. This statement difficult to understand when in both House and Senate the party merely returned to its pre-2010 election levels. The real cycle where Democrats stemmed the tide of past elections was in 2006, where a much …
A few days ago, I explained why I picked the states that I did in the presidential election. Now, it is time for me to explain my Florida picks. Let’s first start with the US House (since the Senate was never really close): Congressional District 2: While I felt that the demographics were a little …
Florida Democrats had a good night on Tuesday. But with a few tweaks and better planning they would have had a blockbuster night. Bad decision making about targeting of races coupled with an inability or unwillingness to reallocate resources strategically based on circumstances damaged the potential for a watershed moment. With the advent of Fair …
Logging the Missed House Opportunities by Florida Democrats Read More »
I hope many of these predictions are wrong but the superior Republican money machine and legislative infrastructure means that they must be favored to win just about every close race in the state. Both my colleague, Dave Trotter and I have declined to make predictions in HD 63 and HD 114 as we have candidates …
Kartik’s Florida Congress, Senate and House Predictions Read More »
Instead of writing an introduction, I will just go into my predictions. Here we go. Governor Races: DE: Democrats Retain IN: Republicans Retain MO: Democrats Retain MT: Democrats Retain NC: Republican Takeover ND: Republican Retain NH: Democrats Retain UT: Republicans Retain VT: Democrats Retain WA: Democrats Retain WV: Democrats Retain
No changes from yesterday
Updated House Race Ratings
Going into the final days of the election, some think that even with all of the scandals, Republican Chris Dorworth is a shoe-in for reelection to the Florida House. While the Republicans continue to make this claim, Democrats continue to pump money into this race. First, on October 16th, the Democrats conduct a $3,200 poll. …
No changes today.
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