Florida

Predicting the State of Florida

A few days ago, I explained why I picked the states that I did in the presidential election. Now, it is time for me to explain my Florida picks. Let’s first start with the US House (since the Senate was never really close): Congressional District 2: While I felt that the demographics were a little …

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Florida Election Day Weather Report: Mixed bag for both parties.

Well, it is Election Day and time to see what it will be like outside. This is your resident storm chaser/political blogger Dave Trotter reporting. When the polls open in Florida at 7 AM, there will be moderate rainfall from Tallahassee to the I-75/I-10 interchange. This rain will leave the Tallahassee area quickly. This should …

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Dave Trotter’s predictions for national races for governor, as well as Florida House and Senate.

Instead of writing an introduction, I will just go into my predictions. Here we go. Governor Races: DE: Democrats Retain IN: Republicans Retain MO: Democrats Retain MT: Democrats Retain NC: Republican Takeover ND: Republican Retain NH: Democrats Retain UT: Republicans Retain VT: Democrats Retain WA: Democrats Retain WV: Democrats Retain

Congressional Race Ratings – November 2: CD-2 Moved

It appears Al Lawson’s momentum in CD-2 has run into a brick wall thanks to Mitt Romney’s high performance in the area. Romney is poised to gain at least 55% of the vote in this sprawling north Florida district based on early voting from the area. Lawson does have some crossover support, and the race …

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Congressional Race Ratings – October 31

Several changes today to our Congressional ratings. Unlike legislative races where we rate races based on feel and on the ground intelligence, we are rating congressional races based on public polling which is available in most races. Thus we’re instituting a clear criteria beginning today. If a race is within four points either way in …

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DCCC launches another ad against Southerland. Do they see blood in the water?

A few days ago, we mentioned how the attack ads against Steve Southerland started. Now, it seems as if the DCCC is on board and doing a last minute advertising blitz for Al Lawson. As with the previous commercial, this one stresses the cuts in Medicare as well as giving tax breaks for the rich. …

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Capsules of Tampa Bay Area House Races

Two battleground areas highlight this year’s State House showdowns. One is the Tampa Bay area which we will feature today and the other is Central Florida which we will feature Monday. On Tuesday, we will look at the few remaining big House races outside these two battlegrounds. House District 58 Open Seat Gail Gottlieb (D) …

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How not to endorse: Fairly deconstructing the Orlando Sentinel’s endorsement of Mitt Romney.

(Warning: This is a long post) This past week, one of the biggest surprises was the Orlando Sentinel’s endorsement of Mitt Romney. Many of us that read the Orlando Sentinel have falsely thought that everyone on the editorial board had the same opinions as Scott Maxwell. The endorsement of Mitt Romney proved to be a …

How not to endorse: Fairly deconstructing the Orlando Sentinel’s endorsement of Mitt Romney. Read More »

The Political Hurricane Endorsements: Florida House and Senate

Here are our endorsement for candidates in the Florida House and Florida Senate. As with the Congressional races, the decision for these endorsement must be unanimous among the editorial board. State Senate District 1 – no endorsement District 2 – no endorsement District 3 – no endorsement District 4 – Nancy Soderberg District 5 – …

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