Florida’s Vote by Mail turnout is low. Why? Florida Vote by Mail looking to hit record lows. In 2018, Florida’s Vote by Mail (or VBM) tally reached over 2.6 million voters when all was said and done. So far in 2022, VBMs have hit just under 1 million votes, a substantial difference from the last …
Since the election of Barack Obama back in 2008, a continuing narrative within Democratic Party circles is that “changes in demographics” would lead to an eventual Democratic takeover of the House, Senate, and the Presidency for decades. Democratic conventional wisdom posits that voters who are not White are more likely to be Democratic, and as those voters become a larger part of the population, Democrats, naturally, would be in a position of advantage.
Still, to put blame solely on Miami-Dade would be wrong. When all the results are certified, Miami-Dade will have provided the largest net positive gains for Republicans in the entire nation, with over 200,000 votes gained this cycle. However, this only counts for a lost of those 200,000 votes. Joe Biden is currently losing the state by 374,394. Therefore, even if Biden had a net loss of zero votes in Miami-Dade, he would have still lost the state by a wider margin than Hillary did in 2016. Why?
Since Election Night, Democrats have been scratching their heads and wondering why a highly-qualified Hillary Clinton lost. What was that precise moment that turned the tide? Was it the Comey letter? Was it the email server scandal? Was it the DNC email scandal? Democrats have been trying to find answers, but really cannot pinpoint the …
Lying in the Bed: The exact moment Hillary Clinton lost the election. Read More »
Well, the vote is over. Stephen Bittel is going to be the chair of the Florida Democratic Party. From my projections, I assumed the vote would have gone to a second ballot, but it seems that some who were projected to go one way instead voted for Bittel. Either way, the race is over. Stephen …
Time for Florida Democrats to truly come together, not just talk about it. Read More »
With the election of Donald Trump in November, Democrats were quick to Monday Morning Quarterback as to why Hillary Clinton lost, especially in the State of Florida, where polls were looking good for her. As with other states, we heard that voter turnout was down for Democrats. We also heard that rural America was voting …
Over the last few weeks, I have been putting together a data set for precinct-level results in Florida. I am still waiting for some final numbers, but I have enough to at least do a preliminary examination of how Florida voted. With the numbers I have, which is over 5,500 precincts (almost all), there is …
Party registration and vote choice in Florida during 2016 Presidential Election. Read More »
It happens every election cycle. Political consultants, campaign managers, and even candidates think that they know best when it comes to running a campaign, creating a message, and targeting voters. However, most of this so-called “wisdom” comes from years of doing it the same way without having anyone challenge their methods. We always hear that “this …
Time for the Florida Democratic Party to employ political scientists. Read More »
I supported Bernie Sanders in the primary. In fact, I had advocated for Bernie to run for president two years before he made the decision to run. When I saw Bernie speak in June of 2014, in a packed pub in Evanston, IL, more than a year before he was addressing thousands of supporters in …
Steve Schale’s recent blog post hits the nail on the head. Read More »
For years, Windermere was known as the place that would always vote Republican in Orange County. During the 2000 Presidential election, Windermere voted 73% for George W. Bush. In 2012, Romney won 80.2% in Windermere. However, in 2016, something happened. And yes, that something was Donald Trump. As someone who has lived most of my …
Southwest Orange County shows white-collar shift from GOP to Democratic in 2016. Read More »
You must be logged in to post a comment.